Showing posts with label adam. Show all posts
Showing posts with label adam. Show all posts

The Psychology of Finance, Revised Edition Review

The Psychology of Finance, Revised Edition
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The Psychology of Finance, Revised Edition ReviewAbsolutely one of the best books I have ever read. This book got me started in investing. What an incredible overview of business cycles and waves and economic indicators. Gives such readable ananlysis on how and why our economy moves. Makes you want to watch M1,M2 and M3. But the best part of this book is his ability to tie in mass pyschology from the tulip bust in Holland to John Maynard Keynes' discussion of "to the sixth degree." How you need to predict what people are predicting the market will do. And then it masterfully sums it all up in an excellent discussion of chaos theory and the benefits and limits of using charts to predict. Makes you discount anything but the next day weather forecasts. I went and read about 5 more scientific treatisties on chaos theory. Want a foundation upon which to invest and invest with shrewdenss. READ THIS BOOK! Find it in a library, anywhere.The Psychology of Finance, Revised Edition Overview

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What the Numbers Say: A Field Guide to Mastering Our Numerical World Review

What the Numbers Say: A Field Guide to Mastering Our Numerical World
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What the Numbers Say: A Field Guide to Mastering Our Numerical World ReviewThis book offers examples of quantitative reasoning, including the topics of compound growth and statistics. Their perspective is that without the ability to work with numbers, people can easily be misled. One of the examples is a statistic used by defense attorney Alan Dershowitz to mislead the jurors in the infamous Simpson trial.
As I was reading the book, I wondered who the audience ought to be. Although the tone is breezy and the examples are presented without the use of algebra or higher mathematics, I am not sure how a math-phobic person would react. My experience with math phobes is that they would feel threatened by the book and be resistant to picking it up.
A better audience for the book might be math educators. As a teacher, I found numerous examples in the book that will be helpful. Moreover, the last chapter, in which they discuss ways to reform math education, is a gem.
What the authors are saying is that people need good basic intuition about numbers in order to understand a world that is increasingly dominated by numerical data. The traditional math curriculum tries to prepare a student to study Newtonian physics. Instead, I think that the authors would argue that the curriculum ought to be aimed at enabling a student to understand stock market ratios and statistical research.
One random note is that the authors attribute the phrase "independence from irrelevant alternatives" to John Nash. I may be wrong, but I believe that it was Kenneth Arrow who brought that concept to the fore.
By filling the book with interesting examples that illustrate the type of quantitative reasoning that they consider important, the authors make a compelling case for the math education reform that they advocate. However, if their primary audience is math educators, that fact is obscured on the book jacket, which makes the intended audience unclear.What the Numbers Say: A Field Guide to Mastering Our Numerical World Overview

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